WMT · US
WMT.US: Q2 FY27 $187.9B — eComm +23% & FY raise
Walmart printed Q2 FY27 on 2026-08-20: revenue $187.9B (+5.9% / +5.1% cc), global eComm +23%, ads +38%, membership fees +17%; US comps +2.6% ex-fuel. Adj. EPS $0.81. FY27 net sales raised to +4–5% cc. See AMZN, COST.
Cite a section with a deep link, e.g. /en/r/wmt-us-research#thesis
Latest print snapshot
- Q2 revenue
- USD 187.9B
- US comps
- 0
- Global eComm growth
- 0
- OI growth
- 0.3
As-of 2026-09-25 (weekly refresh; equities aligned to §A. Missing series are N/A/null. Not investment advice.)
Thesis
Walmart = value-retail traffic + eComm/ads/membership profit pools. Formal Q2 FY27 (ended 2026-07-31; printed 2026-08-20): revenue $187.9B (+5.9%, +5.1% cc); US comps +2.6% (transactions +1.5%, ticket +1.1%, ~125bp pharmacy MFP headwind); global eComm +23%, ads +38%, membership fees +17%; GAAP OI +28.8%, adj. cc +17.4% (tariff-refund net benefit; underlying at the high end of the prior 7–10% guide). Adj. EPS $0.81. FY27 net sales raised to +4–5% cc, adj. OI +7.0–8.5%, adj. EPS $2.80–$2.87.
Business
Supercenters + Sam's Club + eComm (incl. marketplace) + retail media + membership. Flagships: Walmart U.S. grocery traffic, global eComm, ads, membership fees. Strategy: eComm share, ad monetization, Walmart+ penetration, supply-chain automation—continuity through CEO transition.
Strategy
| Pillar / phase | Detail |
|---|---|
| 0–12m: 同店与客流 | KPI: US comp / transactions / ticket;Q2 指引 net sales +4–5% cc |
| 电商 + 广告利润池 | KPI: 全球电商增速 · 广告增速 · 电商对 comp 贡献 bps |
| 会员与履约效率 | KPI: 会员费收入 · 履约燃料成本 · adj OI 增速 |
Value chain
Downstream mass retail/membership; upstream CPG/private label and logistics energy. Customers highly fragmented. Supply risks: fulfillment fuel/labor; tariffs/price investment; grocery inventory timing.
Customers
| Customer | Concentration/role | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 美国大众消费者 | 超分散 | 食品流量为主;K 型消费受益端 |
| Walmart+ / Sam's 会员 | 分散且粘性上升 | 全球会员费收入 +17.4% |
| 广告主(零售媒体) | 中高增 | 全球广告 +37% |
| 最大客户占比 | N/A(通常极低) | B2C 零售;供应商集中度见 10-K |
Corporate events
Material events over ~24–36m:
Corporate events
| Date | Phase | Event | Meaning |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | 人事 | John Furner 接任 CEO(Doug McMillon 卸任) | 战略延续性为主;关注 Walmart U.S. 继任安排 |
| 2026-05-21 | 财报 | Q1 FY27:营收 $177.8B(+7.3%);US comp +4.1% | 最新正式打印;电商/广告高增 |
| 2026-08-20 | 待定 | Q2 FY27 预计打印(截至本稿约 Aug 20) | 可能覆盖本稿指引与序列——读数以前置正式稿为准 |
Valuation
Valuation snapshot
| Metric | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 市值(约) | ~$0.8–0.9T 量级 | 约 2026-08;示意 |
| TTM P/E(示意) | 约 38–42x | 价值零售溢价含电商/广告叙事 |
| Forward P/E(示意) | 约 35–39x | 对标 FY27 adj EPS 指引区间 |
| P/B(示意) | 约 7–8x | 回购与高 ROE |
| 盈利收益率 | 约 2.5% | 1/PE |
| 股息率 | 约 0.8% | 以回购+分红组合为主 |
Valuation & returns · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Price read: value-channel share + eComm/ads compounding, discounted for low-single-digit OI margin and fulfillment cost volatility (~2026-08 illustrative).
Share price · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial trend (~24 months)
Seasonality: Q4 (ended Jan 31) is holiday peak; Q1 often down QoQ. Revenue and operating margin with YoY/QoQ:
Revenue · last 8 quarters
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Operating margin · last 8 quarters
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial health
Financial health
| Item | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 财务健康总评 | 强 | YTD OCF $19.7B;关税退税再投入价格,底层 OI 仍处指引上沿 |
| Q2 FY27 营收 | $187.9B | +5.9% / +5.1% cc;来源 2026-08-20 PR |
| 经营利润 | GAAP +28.8%;调整 cc +17.4% | 含关税退税净利;底层位于 7–10% 指引上沿 |
| 经营 / 自由现金流 | OCF $19.7B;FCF $5.5B | YTD;FCF 同比 −$1.4B |
| 有息债 / 现金 | 债务 $57.2B;现金 $11.5B | 含一年内到期与融资租赁;YTD 回购 $5.1B |
| 审计 / 持续经营 | 大型美股常规无保留预期 | 以最新 10-Q/10-K 为准 |
Net income · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Operations
Q2 FY27: $187.9B revenue (+5.9% / +5.1% cc); US net sales $125.2B (+3.5%), comps +2.6% (transactions +1.5%, ticket +1.1%, ~125bp pharmacy MFP, eComm ~510bps to comps); global eComm +23%; ads +38%; membership fees +17%; GAAP OI +28.8% / adj. cc +17.4%. Q3 guide: net sales +3.0–3.75% cc; adj OI +2–4% cc; adj EPS $0.62–$0.64.
Q2 FY27 segment mix
| Segment | Scale / growth | Watchpoint |
|---|---|---|
| Walmart U.S. | Net sales $125.2B / +3.5% | Comp ex-fuel +2.6%(交易 +1.5% / 客单 +1.1%;药房 MFP 约 −125bp) |
| International | Net sales $35.2B / +12.8%(cc +7.9%) | 电商 +19%;广告 +20% |
| Sam's Club U.S. | Net sales $25.7B / +8.8% | Comp ex-fuel +4.4%;电商 +26% |
| 高增利润池 | 全球电商 +23% / 广告 +38% / 会员费 +17% | US 电商 +24%;marketplace +52% |
Competition
Peers: AMZN, COST, and planned HD / TJX / TGT. Strength: grocery density, store-fulfilled eComm, ads growth. Weakness: thin OI margin, fuel sensitivity, growth already in the multiple.
Peer comparison
| Company | Position / share | Margin | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walmart (WMT) | US 价值零售龙头 | OM ~4.2% | 食品流量+电商/广告/会员 | 低个位数利润率;履约燃料成本 |
| Costco (COST) | 会员仓储 | OM ~4% | 续费率与客流锚 | 开店节奏慢;估值贵 |
| Amazon (AMZN) | 电商平台 | 零售薄利+云 | 履约与广告闭环 | 非纯零售;CapEx 重 |
| Target (TGT) | 中产可选 | 更高可选敞口 | 门店体验/自有品牌 | K 型消费下客流更敏感 |
| TJX | Off-price | 高 ROIC | Trade-down 受益 | 品类与规模不及 WMT |
Management
John Furner (CEO since 2026-02-01); John David Rainey (CFO since 2022). Doug McMillon retired as CEO with a board/advisor transition. Call: orderly succession, high strategic continuity; watch Walmart U.S. succession.
Key management (24m)
| Role | Name | Since | 24m change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CEO / President | John Furner | 2026-02 | 接棒 Doug McMillon(2026-02-01 生效) |
| CFO | John David Rainey | 2022-06 | 无重大披露变动 |
| 前 CEO / 董事会 | Doug McMillon | 2014–2026 | 2026-01-31 卸任 CEO;过渡期留任董事/顾问 |
Outlook
Near-term: Q3 +3.0–3.75% cc (Flipkart timing) and recycling tariff refunds into price. Medium-term: ads/eComm pools vs FY +4–5% sales and +7.0–8.5% adj OI.
Scenarios
| Scenario | Conditions | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | eComm/ads stay high-teens/double-digit; OI leverage beats guide | Upside |
| Base | Mid-single comps; Q2 mid-guide | Core hold |
| Bear | Fuel/tariffs crush OI; traffic turns | Compression |
Risks
Risks
| Risk | Severity | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|
| 履约/配送燃料与劳动力成本抬升 | 高 | Q1 已吸收约 250bps OI 压力 |
| 价格投资与关税压毛利 | 中高 | 看 GP rate 与指引 |
| 电商利润率爬坡不及预期 | 中 | 高增但需验证经济模型 |
| CEO 过渡与组织执行 | 中 | Furner 2026-02 上任 |
| 可选消费走弱拖累客单 | 中 | 目前交易驱动强于客单 |
| Risk | Level |
|---|---|
| Fulfillment fuel/labor costs | High |
| Price investment / tariffs on GM | Med-High |
| eComm margin climb disappoints | Medium |
| CEO transition execution | Medium |
| Discretionary ticket softens | Medium |
Tracking
- Q3 net sales +3.0–3.75% cc vs Flipkart timing
- US comps vs pharmacy MFP headwind
- Global eComm +23% / ads +38%
- Membership fees +17%
- YTD OCF $19.7B / FCF $5.5B
Confirm: high-growth pools persist and underlying OI holds. Falsify: comps stall or another guide cut.
References
- Walmart Q1 FY27 Earnings Release (2026-05-21) — https://corporate.walmart.com/
- Walmart IR / SEC filings — https://stock.walmart.com/
- See AMZN · COST · HD · TJX · TGT
Not investment advice. Q2 print may supersede.
- Walmart Q2 FY27 (2026-08-20) — https://corporate.walmart.com/news/2026/08/20/walmart-releases-q2-fy27-earnings
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