CLS · US
CLS.US: Q2'26 — AI server ODM
Celestica Q2 2026 revenue $4.70B (+62%), CCS $3.81B (+84%), adj EPS $2.54. FY26 outlook raised to $20.5B revenue, $11.30 adj EPS. AI server ODM / liquid cooling / OpenAI rack thesis intact.
Cite a section with a deep link, e.g. /en/r/cls-us-research#thesis
Snapshot
- Price
- USD 195
- Mkt cap
- USD 23.0B
- Revenue
- USD 18.8B
- CCS revenue (Q)
- USD 3.8B
As-of 2026-09-25 (weekly refresh; equities aligned to §A. Missing series are N/A/null. Not investment advice.)
Thesis
Celestica Q2 2026 revenue $4.70B (+62%), CCS $3.81B (+84%), adj EPS $2.54. FY26 outlook raised to $20.5B revenue, $11.30 adj EPS. AI server ODM / liquid cooling / OpenAI rack thesis intact.
Business
Model: EMS/ODM; CCS focused on cloud/AI hardware. Flagships: AI server integration; liquid-cooling racks. Edge: OpenAI-scale customer bind. Strategy: FY26 $20.5B / $11.30 EPS.
Value chain
AI hardware ODM downstream. Upstream: GPU/net/VRT power-cooling. Risks: concentration, SMCI competition.
Valuation
ODM margins below semis; growth and backlog support multiple.
Valuation snapshot (multi-lens)
| Metric | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| P/E(TTM 约) | 约 32x | 行情示意;以最新 EPS 为准 |
| P/B | 约 6.5x | 净资产口径随季报更新 |
| 盈利收益率 | 约 3.1% | 1/PE 近似 |
| 现价读法 | 约 195 USD | 截至 2026-08-26 包内 KPI |
~3y valuation/return series (PE, PB, dividend yield, trailing 1Y ann. return):
Valuation & return · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
~3y share price (quarterly close, split-adjusted approx.):
Share price · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial trend (~24 months)
Illustrative 8Q with YoY/QoQ:
Revenue · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Gross margin · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Net income · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial health (§A.7)
OCF and leverage per latest filings.
Financial health (OCF / debt / liquidity / audit)
| Item | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 财务健康总评 | 稳健偏扩张 | 以最新季报 OCF 与净现金为准 |
| 经营现金流 | 见最新 10-Q | AI 周期龙头通常 OCF 强劲 |
| 净负债 / 现金 | 投资级或净现金 | 详见 table 与 IR |
| 流动性 | 充裕 | Current ratio / cash & equivalents |
| 审计意见 | 无保留(常规预期) | 以最新 10-K 为准 |
Operations
Adj op margin 8.2%; CCS is growth engine.
Key financial points
| Item | Value | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 营收 | $4.70B | +62% | 至 6/30 |
| CCS | $3.81B | +84% | AI server |
| Adj EPS | $2.54 | Q2 | OM 8.2% |
| FY26 展望 | $20.5B rev | Adj EPS $11.30 | 上修 |
Competition
Market share vs peers (illustrative):
Peer comparison
| Company | Position | Margin | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celestica (self) | AI rack ODM | Adj OM ~8% | Scale + liquid cooling | Manufacturing margins |
| Super Micro | Custom AI servers | ~15% | Speed / DLC narrative | Governance discount |
| Vertiv | DC power / cooling | Adj OM ~23% | Facility infra scale | Not full rack ODM |
Management
Core management (24m)
| Role | Name | Since | 24m change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CEO | Rob Mionis | 2015 | No change |
| CFO | Mandeep Chawla | 2017 | No change |
| Chair | Tawfiq Popatia / board | — | No material disclosed C-suite turnover |
Stability: CEO Rob Mionis stable; CCS strategic focus.
Outlook
OpenAI rack progress, liquid cooling attach, capacity, SMCI competition.
Scenarios
| Scenario | Condition | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | Demand/execution beats | Upside |
| Base | Trend continues | Hold/watch |
| Bear | Cycle/competition worsens | Drawdown/reassess |
Risks
| Risk | Severity | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 需求/指引不及预期 | 高 | 客户集中、margin 压缩、竞争、产能。 |
| 竞争加剧 | 中 | 同业扩产或降价挤压份额与毛利 |
| 供应链约束 | 中 | 关键零部件或产能瓶颈 |
| 估值与流动性 | 中 | 主题退潮或解禁带来回撤 |
| 政策与合规 | 低 | 出口管制、监管或审计关注 |
Tracking list
Verify on next earnings:
- FY26 $20.5B / $11.30 adj EPS outlook
- CCS AI server growth vs SMCI
- OpenAI rack program progress & margin
- Liquid cooling attach and VRT synergy
- Customer concentration & capacity bottlenecks
References
- CLS IR / latest 10-Q — SEC EDGAR
- https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=CLS
- Cross-links in body [[article:]] refs
Not investment advice; defer to latest company filings.
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