600028.SH, 0386.HK · A-shares · Hong Kong
600028.SH / 0386.HK Sinopec: integrated refining + dividend resilience
Sinopec 2025 revenue ¥2.784T (−9.5%), parent NI ¥31.809B (−36.8%); OCF ¥162.5B (+8.8%). FY DPS ¥0.20; payout incl. buybacks ~81%. Refining EBIT improved; chemicals still loss-making; marketing hit by EV penetration. 2026Q1 revenue ¥706.7B (−3.9%), NI ¥17.0B (+28%). A-share ~¥5.10 / mkt ~¥617B (≈2026-08-07). See CNOOC, Shenhua.
Cite a section with a deep link, e.g. /en/r/sinopec-600028-research#thesis
KPIs
- A-share (approx)
- CNY 5.1
- Market cap (approx)
- CNY 616.7B
- 2025 revenue
- CNY 2783.6B
- 2025 parent NI
- CNY 31.8B
As-of 2026-09-25 (weekly refresh; equities aligned to §A. Missing series are N/A/null. Not investment advice.)
Thesis
Sinopec (600028.SH / 0386.HK) is China’s core integrated refining and fuel-marketing franchise. 2025 revenue ¥2.784T (−9.5%), parent NI ¥31.809B (−36.8%); OCF ¥162.5B (+8.8%). FY DPS ¥0.20; payout incl. buybacks ~81%. 2026Q1 revenue ¥706.7B (−3.9%), NI ¥17.0B (+28%).
China’s largest integrated refining/marketing platform. 2025 NI fell on softer oil and chemical overcapacity, but OCF and payout remain resilient. Thesis is dividend/buybacks + refining optimization—not upstream oil beta (see CNOOC). Watch chemical turnaround and EV substitution of fuels.
Business
Model: E&P → refining → chemicals → marketing. Returns via cracks/volumes plus high payout/buybacks.
Flagships: Fuels/refining network; gas/upstream volumes; chemicals (current drag).
Edge: Scale + retail network + SOE funding. Strategy: efficiency, product mix, new-energy adjacency, disciplined capex.
Value chain
Mid/downstream integrator with some upstream. Risks: crude costs/cracks; chemical overcapacity. Upstream beta: CNOOC.
Valuation
Valuation snapshot (multi-lens)
| Metric | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| TTM PE | N/A | 未接入具名行情源;TTM 盈利≤0 或未核验时不填造倍数 |
| PB | N/A | 待最新净资产与市值核验 |
| 股息率 | N/A | 待分红公告 / IR |
| 现价语境 | 约 5.1 | 600028.SH · 以包内 kpi_snapshot 时点为准 |
Valuation & returns · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
~3y valuation & returns (illustrative; §A.6):
Valuation & returns · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
~¥5.10 / ~¥617B (≈2026-08-07). Prefer dividend/FCF yield over growth PE.
Share price · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial trend (~24m)
Revenue · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Gross margin · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Net income · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial health (§A.7)
Financial health (OCF / debt / liquidity / audit)
| Item | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 财务健康总评 | 见最新披露 | 以 OCF 与负债率为准 |
| 经营现金流 | 见中报 / 季报 | 与净利润匹配度 |
| 资产负债率 | 见最新资产负债表 | 有息负债 vs 现金 |
| 流动性 | 见流动比率 | 货币资金与短债 |
| 审计意见 | 无保留(常规预期) | 半年报未经审计 |
Operations
Revenue / segment mix
| Segment | Scale/mix | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 勘探及开发 | 收入 ~¥2860B;经营收益 ~¥455B | 气量增长对冲油价;收益 −19% |
| 炼油 | 收入 ~¥1.33T;经营收益 ~¥94.5B | 结构优化,收益 +41% |
| 营销及分销 | 收入 ~¥1.51T;经营收益 ~¥99.7B | 新能源渗透 + 库存减利,收益 −47% |
| 化工 | 收入 ~¥4641B;经营亏损 ~¥146B | 产能过剩,毛利收窄 |
Competition
Peer map
| Company | Role | Margin | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 中国石化 | 炼化+营销一体化 | GM ~16% | 规模/渠道/分红 | 化工亏损 / 成品油替代 |
| 中国海油 | 上游低成本 | 高上游利润率 | 桶油成本 / 产量 | 油价β更高 |
| 中国神华 | 煤电一体化高股息 | 高 | 分红确定性 | 煤价周期 |
| 民营炼化(恒力/荣盛等) | 炼化产能扩张方 | 波动大 | 新装置效率 | 债务与价差风险 |
See also China Shenhua for high-dividend energy.
Management
Management (24m)
| Role | Name | Since | 24m change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 董事长 | 侯启军 | 2025+ | 近 24 个月董事长更替(集团/股份治理调整) |
| 总裁 | 万涛 | 公开披露在任 | 经营层延续 |
| 财务负责人 | 以最新年报披露为准 | — | 未见公开重大 CFO 动荡表述 |
Chair Hou Qijun; President Wan Tao. Stability: steady/transitioning within SOE norms.
Outlook
Track Brent/cracks, chemical spreads, fuel demand vs EV, payout/buybacks, new-energy adjacency.
Scenarios
| Scenario | Trigger | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | Oil up + chemicals improve | NI/dividend up |
| Base | Choppy oil; high payout | Dividend sleeve |
| Bear | Oil down + lasting chem losses | NI and payout risk |
Risks
References
- Sinopec 2025 results summary — http://file.finance.sina.com.cn/211.154.219.97:9494/MRGG/CNSESH_STOCK/2026/2026-3/2026-03-23/12009908.PDF
- SSE/CNINFO filings — https://static.cninfo.com.cn/finalpage/2026-03-23/1225024106.PDF
- IR: http://www.sinopec.com/listco/
- On-site: CNOOC · Shenhua · coal chemical
Not investment advice.
Tracking
Check next earnings for:
- Next-quarter revenue & margin vs guide
- OCF vs CapEx / payout
- Competitive share shifts
- Valuation vs historical mid-cycle
- Key policy / supply-chain variables
Confirm: guide hit, share stable, OCF matches earnings.
Disconfirm: guide cut, share loss, leverage stress.
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