PLTR · US
PLTR.US: AIP commercialization at a premium
Palantir US commercial AIP growth with gov base; rich multiple. See AI infra.
Cite a section with a deep link, e.g. /en/r/pltr-us-research#thesis
Snapshot
- Price
- USD 140
- Mkt cap
- USD 300.0B
- Revenue
- USD 3.9B
- Growth quality (proxy)
- 0.7
Thesis
Palantir extends gov analytics into enterprise AIP. US commercial deal velocity is the alpha; the multiple demands proof. See AI infra deep dive.
Business
Model: platform software. Flagships: AIP; Gotham/Foundry. Edge: ontology + gov trust. Strategy: US commercial land-and-expand.
Value chain
App-layer software; upstream cloud/data; downstream gov/enterprise.
Valuation
Growth×quality multiple; guide misses hit hard.
Financial trend (~24 months)
Illustrative 8Q with YoY/QoQ:
Revenue · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Gross margin · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Operations
US commercial ARR/deals, gov renewals, op. margin.
Key financials
| Item | Value | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 rev (approx) | ~$3.9B | +35% | US commercial AIP |
| Gross margin | ~80% | — | Software |
| US commercial | Fastest growth | — | AIP deal velocity |
| Gov | Stable base | — | Defense/intel |
Competition
Vs data cloud and horizontal AI; vertical + gov differ.
Peer map
| Company | Share/role | Margin | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palantir (self) | AIP platform | ~80% | Ontology+gov trust | Valuation |
| Snowflake | Data cloud | High | Ecosystem | Different layer |
| Microsoft | Horizontal AI | High | Distribution | Less vertical |
Management
Management (24m)
| Role | Name | Since | 24m change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CEO | Alex Karp | 2004 | No change |
| CFO | David Glazer | 2020 | No change |
| CTO | Shyam Sankar | — | No material change |
Stability: steady founder team.
Outlook
Track US commercial net-new, large deals, margins, dilution.
Scenarios
| Scenario | Condition | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | Demand/execution beats | Upside |
| Base | Trend continues | Hold with vol |
| Bear | Cycle/competition worsens | Drawdown |