NOW · US
NOW.US: Q2'26 sub $3.88B — AI ACV tops $1B
ServiceNow Q2 subscription $3.877B (+24.5%), total $3.987B; cRPO $13.20B (+21%). AI ACV crossed $1B. FY subscription guide $15.76–15.78B.
Cite a section with a deep link, e.g. /en/r/now-us-research#thesis
Snapshot
- Price (approx.)
- USD 165
- Mkt cap (approx.)
- USD 171.0B
- Revenue (approx.)
- USD 15.9B
- cRPO
- USD 13.2B
As-of 2026-09-25 (weekly refresh; equities aligned to §A. Missing series are N/A/null. Not investment advice.)
Thesis
ServiceNow Q2 subscription $3.877B (+24.5%), total $3.987B; cRPO $13.20B (+21%). AI ACV crossed $1B, YE target $1.5B. FY subscription $15.76–15.78B. High-quality workflow compounder; multiple needs cRPO to stay out of the high teens.
Business
Model: enterprise workflow cloud. Flagships: ITSM; customer/employee workflows; AI agents. Edge: platform and process data. Strategy: AI control tower. Entity: ServiceNow, Inc.
Value chain
Downstream enterprise software. Upstream: hyperscalers; downstream: 658 $5M+ ACV customers. Risks: replacement cycles, AI packaging, CRM overlap.
Valuation
Price context ~$165 / mkt ~$171B (watch share count). Market prices 20%+ cRPO.
Valuation snapshot (multi-lens)
| Metric | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| TTM PE | N/A | 未接入具名行情源;TTM 盈利≤0 或未核验时不填造倍数 |
| PB | N/A | 待最新净资产与市值核验 |
| 股息率 | N/A | 待分红公告 / IR |
| 现价语境 | 约 165 | NOW · 以包内 kpi_snapshot 时点为准 |
~3y PE / PB / dividend yield / trailing 1Y ann. return. Points without a named market source are null:
Valuation & return · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Share price · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial trend (~24 months)
Last ~8Q revenue and margins with YoY / QoQ. Missing quarters stay null:
Revenue · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Gross margin · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Net income · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial health (§A.7)
98% renewal; FY FCF margin guide 35%. Net-cash software. Audit expected unqualified.
Financial health (OCF / debt / liquidity / audit)
| Item | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 财务健康总评 | 稳健偏扩张 | 以最新季报 OCF 与净现金为准 |
| 经营现金流 | 见最新 10-Q | AI 周期龙头通常 OCF 强劲 |
| 净负债 / 现金 | 投资级或净现金 | 详见 table 与 IR |
| 流动性 | 充裕 | Current ratio / cash & equivalents |
| 审计意见 | 无保留(常规预期) | 以最新 10-K 为准 |
Operations
123 $1M+ net-new ACV deals (+40%); 98% renewal; 29.5% non-GAAP OM.
Key financial points
| Item | Value | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| 订阅收入 | $3.877B | +24.5% | 超指引 |
| 总营收 | $3.987B | +24% | |
| cRPO | $13.20B | +21% | 超指引 200bps |
| RPO | $29.0B | +21% | |
| AI ACV | >$1B | 里程碑 | YE $1.5B |
| FY 订阅指引 | $15.76–15.78B | 上修 |
Competition
Peer strengths/weaknesses; share charts only when a named source exists.
Peer map
| Company | Share/role | Margin | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ServiceNow (self) | Workflow platform | ~79% GM | Platform breadth | Valuation risk |
| Salesforce | CRM apps | High GM | App depth | Overlap in service |
| Microsoft | Power Platform | Bundle | Distribution | Best-of-breed fight |
| IBM | ITSM/consulting | Mid | Services | Product vs platform |
Management
Management (24m)
| Role | Name | Since | 24m change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CEO | Bill McDermott | 2019+ | No material change |
| CFO | Gina Mastantuono | 2020+ | No material change |
| Product / AI | Product leads | ongoing | AI agent push |
Stability: Platform strategy continuity; no 24m control change.
Outlook
Track Q3 sub ~$3.98B, AI ACV, $1M+ deals.
Scenarios
| Scenario | Condition | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | Demand/execution beats | Upside |
| Base | Trend continues | Hold/watch |
| Bear | Cycle/competition worsens | Drawdown/reassess |
Risks
| Risk | Severity | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 需求/指引不及预期 | 高 | cRPO 减速、AI 证伪、竞争、估值、大客户集中。 |
| 竞争加剧 | 中 | 同业扩产或降价挤压份额与毛利 |
| 供应链约束 | 中 | 关键零部件或产能瓶颈 |
| 估值与流动性 | 中 | 主题退潮或解禁带来回撤 |
| 政策与合规 | 低 | 出口管制、监管或审计关注 |
Tracking list
Verify on next earnings:
- Q3 sub ~$3.98B and FY sub $15.76–15.78B
- cRPO $13.20B (+21%) and 123 $1M+ net-new deals
- AI ACV >$1B and YE $1.5B target
- 29.5% non-GAAP OM and 98% renewal
- Workflow share vs CRM/ITSM peers
References
- ServiceNow Q2 2026 results — https://newsroom.servicenow.com/press-releases/details/2026/ServiceNow-Reports-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results/default.aspx
- ServiceNow IR — https://investor.servicenow.com/
- Cross — CRM workflow
Not investment advice; defer to latest company filings.
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